Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000278 0.000311 0.000347 0.000389 0.000436 0.000488 0.000550
2024-12-29 0.000214 0.000261 0.000316 0.000386 0.000474 0.000581 0.000721
2025-01-05 0.000184 0.000238 0.000307 0.000402 0.000529 0.000695 0.000931
2025-01-12 0.000155 0.000211 0.000285 0.000393 0.000547 0.000761 0.001086
2025-01-19 0.000130 0.000184 0.000260 0.000374 0.000545 0.000796 0.001199
2025-01-26 0.000118 0.000172 0.000252 0.000378 0.000575 0.000880 0.001395
2025-02-02 0.000111 0.000168 0.000254 0.000396 0.000628 0.001002 0.001670
2025-02-09 0.000100 0.000156 0.000243 0.000391 0.000644 0.001068 0.001858
2025-02-16 0.000093 0.000148 0.000238 0.000395 0.000673 0.001157 0.002102
2025-02-23 0.000085 0.000139 0.000229 0.000391 0.000688 0.001224 0.002313
2025-03-02 0.000079 0.000133 0.000224 0.000393 0.000713 0.001313 0.002580
2025-03-09 0.000073 0.000126 0.000217 0.000392 0.000732 0.001391 0.002836
2025-03-16 0.000065 0.000115 0.000202 0.000374 0.000717 0.001404 0.002966
2025-03-23 0.000061 0.000110 0.000198 0.000375 0.000743 0.001503 0.003306
2025-03-30 0.000059 0.000108 0.000200 0.000391 0.000799 0.001676 0.003846
2025-04-06 0.000054 0.000101 0.000191 0.000383 0.000803 0.001736 0.004130
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000093 0.000178 0.000364 0.000783 0.001737 0.004267
2025-04-20 0.000046 0.000090 0.000176 0.000368 0.000813 0.001860 0.004745
2025-04-27 0.000045 0.000090 0.000180 0.000386 0.000876 0.002073 0.005507
2025-05-04 0.000043 0.000085 0.000174 0.000381 0.000888 0.002159 0.005934
2025-05-11 0.000041 0.000083 0.000172 0.000385 0.000919 0.002299 0.006549
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000079 0.000167 0.000381 0.000931 0.002392 0.007041
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000077 0.000164 0.000383 0.000959 0.002533 0.007715